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German Retail Sales Misses Forecasts

May 4, 2009 by Danish FX · Leave a Comment 

German Retail Sales came out lower than expected at -1.0 from the previously revised 0.0%.  This data was forecast to be flat again today.

Germany Cuts GDP Outlook

April 29, 2009 by Danish FX · Leave a Comment 

Germany cuts 2009 GDP view to -6% from -2.25% prior, as expected; Sees economy stabilizing later this year

- Sees 2010 GDP at 0.5%
- Sees 2009 exports lower by 18.8%; up 0.9% in 2010 period
- Sees 2010 Imports down 10.9%; up 0.4% in 2010
- 2009 Avg unemployment at 3.72M; climbing to 4.62M in 2010
- German 2009 CPI at 0.3%; 2010 at 0.7%
- Still opposes additional economic stimulus measures

German Finance Minister Steinbrueck Comments

April 13, 2009 by Danish FX · Leave a Comment 

German Fin Min Steinbrueck: World economy may encounter high inflation over medium term due to recent increased liquidity; Next crisis in the works due to debt financed ‘countermeasures’ to currenct crisis - newspaper interview

- Says “I definitely reject a central bad bank so nothing’s changed”; Will make announcement on toxic assets after Easter
- Says that placing toxic assets in a single bad bank would put a burden of more than €200B on taxpayers; Sees that as unjustifiable

ECB’s Stark on the Wires

April 8, 2009 by Danish FX · Leave a Comment 

ECB’s Stark: Lack of confidence in banking system is set to last longer than current economic downturn

- Germany continues to be hit by shrinking global demand
- Crisis will lead to a situation of higher financing costs, this will lead to downward pressures on GDP
- Confidence in global banks will take some time to be recovered
- Their remains the risk of a decline in the size of banking sector, banks still key for finance in EMU economy
- Monetary policy will continue to be targeted at the medium term outlook, European fiscal policy should take a similar view

German Import Prices Released

April 3, 2009 by Danish FX · Leave a Comment 

German Import Prices came out at -0.1%, up from the previous -0.5%.  A rise to -0.3% was forecast.

German Unemployment Change Released

March 31, 2009 by Danish FX · Leave a Comment 

German Unemployment Change came out at 69K up from the previously revised 50K.  A rise to 53K was forecast. 

The EUR softened up and came off session highs behind this weaker than expected employment data. 

**Note:  This data was correctly leaked about 10 minutes before the 3:55 AM official release.

UK’s Chancellor Darling on the Wires

March 26, 2009 by Danish FX · Leave a Comment 

UK Chancellor Darling: Fixing banks is a prerequisite for recovery, Goverment must continue to support economy

- Says BoE’s King supports Goverment’s fiscal stimulus
- UK in ’severe’ economic downturn; have already made ’substantial stimulus’
- Says Germany also is experiencing serious downturn
- Cap or regulation of interest rate would not work
- Quantitative easing is essential in securing employment around the world
- Says Japan (in the 1990s) made the mistake of not dealing with bad assets

Gfk German Consumer Climate Released

March 26, 2009 by Danish FX · Leave a Comment 

The Gfk German Consumer Climate came out at 2.4 from the previous 2.6.  A slight drop to 2.5 was forecast for this release.

The EUR was softening up into this number and was largely unchanged after.

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