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Forex Trading News: RBA Intervention - Aussie

Posted by Alex Chernomordin on Wed, 11/19/2008 - 8:51pm in

The Reserve Bank of Australia bought $3.2billion Aussie  in October versus $ 407million in September (which was the first month of net buying since Sept. 2001). This marks the largest net month of buying intervention on record for Australia.

Forex Trading News: RBA Governor Stevens on the Wires

Posted by Mr. Danish FX on Wed, 11/19/2008 - 4:42am in

RBA Governor Stevens: Chinese economic slowdown may be worse than expected, Australia has ample scope to ease rates, central banks must be prepared to take action

Forex News: AUD MI Leading Index m/m Out at 6:30 PM EDT

Posted by Basil Fayad on Tue, 11/18/2008 - 6:32pm in

Prior Reading at -0.1%

Actual at -1.0%

Combined reading of 9 economic indicators related to consumer confidence, housing, stock prices, money supply, and interest rate spreads.

Forex Trading News: RBA November Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

Posted by Alex Chernomordin on Mon, 11/17/2008 - 7:53pm in

The following are the highlights from the Australian November Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes:

  • Balanced inflation risk with threat of weakening demand.
  • Inflation rate will soon start to fall.
  • Few precedents for fall in household wealth.
  • Large increase in Australian margin loan calls.
  • Risks to its GDP forecast are on the downside.
  • Business borrowing has leveled out.
  • Government spending to boost December and March's quarterly GDP.
  • Business expansion being scaled back.
  • Global turmoil to hit consumer and business confidence.
  • Terms of trade to fall noticeably.
  • Falling of Australian Dollar may delay easing in inflation.
  • Sizeable cut to November cash rate was appropriate.

 

Forex Trading News: Australian Retail Sales

Posted by Alex Chernomordin on Sun, 11/16/2008 - 8:01pm in

The Australian Retail Sales for the 3rd quarter excluding inflation came in worse than expected at 0.1% vs. the 0.4% estimate. The Aussie after gapping lower on the open, has had a minor negative reaction to this release.

Forex Trading News: Australian Q3 Wage Cost Index

Posted by Alex Chernomordin on Tue, 11/11/2008 - 7:32pm in

The 3rd quarter Aussie Wage Cost Index came in higher than expected, the AUD is little changed after the following release:

Wage Cost Index (QoQ) - Survey:1.0%    Actual:0.9%

Wage Cost Index (YoY) - Survey:4.2%    Actual:4.1%

Forex Trading News: Australian Westpac Consumer Confidence

Posted by Alex Chernomordin on Tue, 11/11/2008 - 6:32pm in

The Australian Westpac Consumer Confidence survey was down 11% for October, came in better for November up +4.3%. The AUD/USD is little changed after this positive report.

Forex Trading News: RBA Quarterly Statement

Posted by Alex Chernomordin on Sun, 11/09/2008 - 8:32pm in

The following are the highlights of the RBA's Quarterly Statement:

  • Risk that weaker domestic activity could be deeper and longer than expected.
  • Cuts 2008-2009 GDP forecast to 1.5% from 2.25%, non-farm to 1% from 1.75%.
  • Cuts 2009-2010 GDP to 2% from 2.5%.
  • 2008-2009 CPI forecast at 3% from 3.75%, core inflation at 4% from 3.75%, core inflation at 4% from 3.75%. Stating a lower Aussie to work against inflation decline.
  • Projects core inflation at 3% by end of 2010.
  • Says policy will balance undue demand drop with the fall in inflation.
  • Says economic decline is only moderated, not negated by fiscal stimulus.
  • Domestic spending to remain below trend for some time.
  • Sees modest growth in household spending over next year, but lower business sentiment.
  • Reduced resource-sector spending to flow through to other sectors.
  • Jobless rate to rise, employment flattening in 2009, labor demand to ease significantly over next 2 years.
  • Terms of trade likely to have peaked.

Forex Trading News: Australian Data Releases

Posted by Alex Chernomordin on Sun, 11/09/2008 - 8:17pm in

The following are September Australian data releases:

Home Loans - Survey:-2.8%   Actual:-2.7%

Investment Lending - Survey:-3.0%   Actual:-1.1%

 

Forex Trading News: Aussie AIG Performance of Construction Index

Posted by Alex Chernomordin on Thu, 11/06/2008 - 5:33pm in

The Australian AIG Performance of Construction came in stronger than last months reading at 36.4 for October, above September's reading of 31.8.