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Forex Trading News: RBA Intervention - Aussie
The Reserve Bank of Australia bought $3.2billion Aussie in October versus $ 407million in September (which was the first month of net buying since Sept. 2001). This marks the largest net month of buying intervention on record for Australia.
Forex Trading News: RBA Governor Stevens on the Wires
RBA Governor Stevens: Chinese economic slowdown may be worse than expected, Australia has ample scope to ease rates, central banks must be prepared to take action
Forex News: AUD MI Leading Index m/m Out at 6:30 PM EDT
Prior Reading at -0.1%
Actual at -1.0%
Combined reading of 9 economic indicators related to consumer confidence, housing, stock prices, money supply, and interest rate spreads.
Forex Trading News: RBA November Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
The following are the highlights from the Australian November Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes:
- Balanced inflation risk with threat of weakening demand.
- Inflation rate will soon start to fall.
- Few precedents for fall in household wealth.
- Large increase in Australian margin loan calls.
- Risks to its GDP forecast are on the downside.
- Business borrowing has leveled out.
- Government spending to boost December and March's quarterly GDP.
- Business expansion being scaled back.
- Global turmoil to hit consumer and business confidence.
- Terms of trade to fall noticeably.
- Falling of Australian Dollar may delay easing in inflation.
- Sizeable cut to November cash rate was appropriate.
Forex Trading News: Australian Retail Sales
The Australian Retail Sales for the 3rd quarter excluding inflation came in worse than expected at 0.1% vs. the 0.4% estimate. The Aussie after gapping lower on the open, has had a minor negative reaction to this release.
Forex Trading News: Australian Q3 Wage Cost Index
The 3rd quarter Aussie Wage Cost Index came in higher than expected, the AUD is little changed after the following release:
Wage Cost Index (QoQ) - Survey:1.0% Actual:0.9%
Wage Cost Index (YoY) - Survey:4.2% Actual:4.1%
Forex Trading News: Australian Westpac Consumer Confidence
The Australian Westpac Consumer Confidence survey was down 11% for October, came in better for November up +4.3%. The AUD/USD is little changed after this positive report.
Forex Trading News: RBA Quarterly Statement
The following are the highlights of the RBA's Quarterly Statement:
- Risk that weaker domestic activity could be deeper and longer than expected.
- Cuts 2008-2009 GDP forecast to 1.5% from 2.25%, non-farm to 1% from 1.75%.
- Cuts 2009-2010 GDP to 2% from 2.5%.
- 2008-2009 CPI forecast at 3% from 3.75%, core inflation at 4% from 3.75%, core inflation at 4% from 3.75%. Stating a lower Aussie to work against inflation decline.
- Projects core inflation at 3% by end of 2010.
- Says policy will balance undue demand drop with the fall in inflation.
- Says economic decline is only moderated, not negated by fiscal stimulus.
- Domestic spending to remain below trend for some time.
- Sees modest growth in household spending over next year, but lower business sentiment.
- Reduced resource-sector spending to flow through to other sectors.
- Jobless rate to rise, employment flattening in 2009, labor demand to ease significantly over next 2 years.
- Terms of trade likely to have peaked.
Forex Trading News: Australian Data Releases
The following are September Australian data releases:
Home Loans - Survey:-2.8% Actual:-2.7%
Investment Lending - Survey:-3.0% Actual:-1.1%
Forex Trading News: Aussie AIG Performance of Construction Index
The Australian AIG Performance of Construction came in stronger than last months reading at 36.4 for October, above September's reading of 31.8.





