AUDJPY Hits Trendline
The AUDJPY play we have been looking at is at trendline resistance, a break higher could create a long-term trading opportunity.
South Korean GDP
South Korean 4th quarter GDP came in slightly softer than expected, however the KRW received a bid against the USD, moving the USDKRW pair from 1129 to 1122.
- GDP (QoQ) – Survey:0.5% Actual:0.4% Prior:0.8%
- GDP (YoY) – Survey:3.5% Actual:3.4% Prior:3.5%
Aussie CPI
The Consumer Price Index for the 4th quarter in Australia came in above expectations on a year over year basis, but weaker quarterly, initially pushing the AUDUSD pair lower. The details of the release are as follows:
- CPI (QoQ) – Survey:0.2% Actual:0.0% Prior:0.6%
- CPI (YoY) – Survey:3.3.% Actual:2.6% Prior:3.5%
AUDJPY Approaching LT Resistance
The risk appetite to start the new year seems to be intact (despite a weaker start to the week for equities) , coupled with a Yen sell off yesterday has the AUDJPY approaching trendline resistance in a quickly closing wedge, as it has met some resistance at the 200 day mavg. A confirmed break to the upside could retest the April highs in the first half of the year.
BOJ Keeps Rates Unchanged (0.0% – 0.1%)
- Asset-Purchase Fund unchnaged at 20 Trillion Yen.
- Credit-Loan Program unchanged at 35 Trillion Yen.
- Monthly JGB purchases at 1.8 Trillion.
- FY2012 GDP rising 2.0% vs October forecast of 2.2%
USDSGD Daily
The USDSGD pair is hovering around the 61.8% retracement. The USD sell off to start the new year could be short-lived and the pair could rally back to what was trendline support. A break lower quickly brings the 200day mavg in play.
USDHKD Hourly
The USDHKD hourly chart below shows the pair could retest the short-term trendline resistance and the 100hr mavg in short order despite the holiday week in the far east.
Japan’s Cabinet Office Releases Fiscal Projections
- FY2015 Primary Deficeit will be 3.6% of GDP.
- FY2020 Primary Deficeit will be 3.1% of GDP.





