Canada Retail Sales better than expectations. USDCAD moves lower but holds the double bottom.
The Canada Retail Sales were much better than expectations as it rose by 1.0% and +1.1% ex Autos versus expecations of +0.6% and +0.4% respectively. Moreover, the prior months were revised higher to +1.0% and +0.7%. The better data has led to a lower USDCAD (higher CAD$). However, the lows for the day have held (double bottom at 1.0558). Just prior to the release the price spiked higher but reversed.

The pair should continue to be pressured with the combination of a weaker dollar and strong economic fundamentals from Canada. Confirmation of the downside would come from a breaking of the double bottom at the 1.0558 level (see chart below). On the topside, the bearish bias shifts if the price moves above the 100 hour moving average at the 1.0595 level (see blue line in the chart above). In addition the 100 bar MA on the 5 minute chart is moving down toward this level which makes the level a key level for the bears. As a result, we should see sellers against this level on rallies.





















i m specially trade in usdcad and i have 20 buy in different price so what should i do?
The USDCAD has been under pressure and remains below the 100 bar MA on the 5 minute chart currently at the 1.0563. Until that level is breached to the upside, the bias remains to the downside. Greg
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